Allan Dafoe BITSS CatalystPolitical Science
My research broadly examines the causes of war and statistical methods. My work on statistical methods develops approaches to enable more transparent, credible causal inference. Transparency is crucial to the success of science: transparency is necessary to properly assess the evidential value of new results. Improving transparency is difficult because it requires changing scientific norms and incentives. For this reason initiatives like BITSS and the Catalyst program are invaluable.